Date: Wednesday, October 16, 2024
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Time: 8:08 PM ET

As the National League Championship Series intensifies, all eyes are on the pivotal Game 3 showdown between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets. The series, tied at 1-1, heads to Citi Field, where the atmosphere promises to be electric as teams vie for a critical edge in their quest for a World Series berth.

A Glance at the Teams

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers, boasting a commendable record of 98-64 this season, have displayed remarkable strength, particularly on the road with a 46-35 away record. Their formidable lineup, capable of explosive offensive outings, highlights the depth and talent that has made them perennial playoff contenders. However, they come into this game having suffered a setback in Game 1 of the series, followed by a bounce-back performance in Game 2.

New York Mets

The New York Mets concluded the regular season with an 89-73 record and have proven themselves a fierce opponent at home, also finishing 46-35 at Citi Field. After a disheartening loss in the series opener, they rallied effectively in Game 2, taking down the Dodgers 7-3 behind strong performances, including a grand slam from third baseman Mark Vientos.

Matchup Insights

Key Pitching Matchups

• Los Angeles Dodgers: Walker Buehler (1 start, 0-1, 10.80 ERA)
  Buehler, a two-time All-Star, is looking to redeem himself after struggling in recent playoff appearances. He is coming off a rocky start with an 8.53 ERA in his last three postseason outings, providing the Dodgers with a crucial need for improvement if they hope to reclaim the series lead.

• New York Mets: Luis Severino (2 starts, 1-0, 4.50 ERA)
  Severino has fared decently in the postseason thus far, although his last outing against the Dodgers saw him surrender seven runs. The Mets will need him to minimize damage if they are to capitalize on their home-field advantage.

Betting Odds Overview

Run Line

• Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+160)
• New York Mets +1.5 (-180)

Over/Under

• Over 7.5 Runs (-110)
• Under 7.5 Runs (-110)

Moneyline

• Los Angeles Dodgers (-110)
• New York Mets (+100)

Recent Trends

Both teams have shown tendencies that could impact the outcome of this matchup:

• The Dodgers have been strong on the road, with a 6-1 record in their last seven away games.
• The Mets, despite past struggles against the Dodgers, have been solid at home, winning 8 of their last 9 games at Citi Field.

Moreover, both squads have leaned towards high-scoring games lately, with the total hitting the Over in many of their recent matchups. Expect fireworks if the trend continues.

Predictions & Betting Insights

Game Predictions

This matchup could herald a turning point in the series. Despite the Mets’ recent victory in Game 2, the Dodgers have historically performed well against them, winning five of their last six matchups. If Buehler can find his rhythm early, Los Angeles may break the tie and gain critical momentum.

Prop Bets

One player prop bet to consider is Mookie Betts to record over 0.5 runs + RBIs (-118). While Betts has not hit well this postseason, he remains a potent threat at the plate, especially against a struggling Severino. Historically, he has performed well against the right-hander and could be instrumental in driving the Dodgers’ offense.

Conclusion

As the Dodgers and Mets gear up to face off in this critical Game 3, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Both teams have the capability to deliver explosive performances, so fans can expect an electrifying atmosphere at Citi Field. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or just following for the thrill of the playoffs, this game promises to be a highlight in this year’s October baseball narrative. Make sure to catch all the action on FS1, and get your bets in as momentum builds!

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As the American League Championship Series (ALCS) heats up, the New York Yankees stand poised to deliver a hammer blow to the Cleveland Guardians. With a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series, the Yankees can push the Guardians to the brink of elimination in Game 3, scheduled for Thursday at Progressive Field. The stakes are high, and both teams are eager to seize control.

Matchup Overview

The Yankees (94-68, 50-31 away) take their formidable talents to Cleveland, where the Guardians (92-69, 50-30 home) will look to claw back into the series. For the Yankees, Cole Schmidt will take the mound, hoping to maintain the momentum built over the first two games. The Guardians counter with Matthew Boyd, who has been surprisingly effective since returning from Tommy John surgery.

Schmidt’s performance will be pivotal in determining the Yankees’ fate for Game 3. He faces a Cleveland lineup that hasn’t played up to expectations in the postseason but features the capability to turn the tide. The game is set to begin at 5:08 pm ET, promising to be an evening packed with thrilling moments.

The Pitching Matchup

Cole Schmidt (Yankees)

While Schmidt’s regular-season performance raised some eyebrows, his playoff numbers against Cleveland haven’t been stellar. The Guardians hitters have an impressive collective batting average of .395 against him. However, Schmidt has yet to give up a home run, a key factor that could play to his advantage if he can keep the ball in the yard.

Matthew Boyd (Guardians)

On the other hand, Boyd’s return to form has been a bright spot for the Guardians. Since his comeback, he boasts an admirable 2.72 ERA over nearly 40 innings during the regular season. Remarkably, he’s yet to allow a run in 6.2 postseason innings, showcasing his newfound control and ability to strike out batters. However, he has struggled against some of the Yankees’ best hitters, including Aaron Judge, who has built a solid OPS of 1.470 against Boyd.

Given these metrics, it’s clear that both teams are sending out key arms. Schmidt aims to stabilize his standing in the series, while Boyd attempts to reclaim momentum for the Guardians.

Betting Odds and Predictions

As the game draws nearer, betting lines have begun to tighten. Currently, the best odds for the Yankees sit at -115, while the Guardians are on offer at +105. Betting trends show considerable public support for the Yankees, with around 82% of moneyline bets riding on their victory. This bias is mirrored in the runline, where 85% of the handle favors New York winning by at least two runs.

Several betting outlets are predicting an underperformance in total runs, with the consensus favoring under 7.5 runs. With New York’s bullpen demonstrating an impressive 0.77 ERA in the playoffs—a figure that captures just one home run given up—they are well-positioned to keep the Guardians in check.

Historical Context and Team Momentum

Looking back at the first two games of the series, the Guardians have faced challenges, being outscored 11-5. Their bullpen, often lauded for its strength, has struggled, allowing four runs across 12 innings of work. Such performance could heighten the stakes for Boyd, who knows the importance of delivering a strong outing to stave off elimination.

For the Yankees, momentum is crucial. Winners of two nail-biting games, the team carries confidence into Game 3. Players like Aaron Judge, who continues to shine, will need to replicate their recent success if they are to push the Guardians to the edge.

Conclusion

Game 3 of the ALCS presents a compelling showdown with high stakes. With the Yankees looking to leverage their early series momentum and the Guardians fighting to keep their championship hopes alive, baseball fans are in for a treat. Will the Yankees’ pitching hold up against a determined Guardians lineup, or will Cleveland find a way to strike back? The answers lie just a few pitches away in what promises to be an electrifying encounter at Progressive Field.

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As the excitement builds in the baseball world, the 2024 American League Championship Series reaches a pivotal juncture with Game 3 set to unfold on Thursday, October 17. The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians have provided fans with electric performances thus far, and the stakes couldn’t be higher as the Yankees lead the series 2-0. This article will delve into the matchup, odds, and key player performances to watch.

Game Information

Matchup: New York Yankees (94-68, 50-31 Away) vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 50-30 Home)
Series Status: NYY leads 2-0
Venue: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)
Date: Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024
Game Time: 5:08 PM ET
How to Watch: TBS, truTV, Max

Probable Pitchers

New York Yankees: Clarke Schmidt

• Record: 1 start — 0-0, 3.86 ERA
• Clarke Schmidt has shown resilience this postseason, but his career postseason ERA of 6.43 raises questions about his consistency. The Yankees will need him to step up for a crucial Game 3.

Cleveland Guardians: Matthew Boyd

• Record: 2 starts — 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Boyd has been exceptional, tossing 6 2/3 shutout innings against the Detroit Tigers in the ALDS. His ability to keep the Yankees’ powerful lineup at bay will be critical in this matchup.

Latest Odds and Betting Lines

Run Line

• New York Yankees -1.5 (+150)
• Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-170)

Over/Under

• Over 7.5 Runs (+102)
• Under 7.5 Runs (-122)

Moneyline

• New York Yankees (-115)
• Cleveland Guardians (+105)

(Odds are subject to change and are sourced from BetOnline as of Thursday, Oct. 17 at 10:37 AM ET.)

Team Trends

New York Yankees

• The Yankees have displayed remarkable momentum, going 5-0 straight up in their last five games.
• They boast a dominant 4-0 SU record against the Guardians in their last four meetings, including a plus-4.8 average run margin.

Cleveland Guardians

• The Guardians have struggled against the Yankees, recording only a 2-8 SU record in their last ten encounters.
• Notably, the total has hit the Under in 13 of Cleveland’s last 17 home games, indicating difficulties scoring at Progressive Field.

Game 3 Predictions

With their recent performance, the Yankees appear poised to advance to the World Series for the first time since 2022. In Game 2, New York overpowered Cleveland with a 6-3 victory, led by Aaron Judge’s stellar performance, which featured his first home run of the postseason and three RBIs. The Yankees have demonstrated their offensive prowess throughout the postseason, making their case as a formidable contender.

Despite being the away team, the Yankees have thrived on the road recently, holding a 5-0 SU record in their last five road outings. Conversely, the Guardians’ vulnerability at home, having dropped three of their last five home games, could be a significant factor in this tightly contested series.

Bet Prediction

Considering the Yankees’ offensive firepower and the Guardians’ struggles against them, we predict New York will come out on top in Game 3. The Yankees are set to cover the run line, so placing a bet on Yankees -1.5 (+150) could yield favorable returns.

Player Prop to Watch

For a player prop bet, we recommend Gleyber Torres over 0.5 Runs + RBIs (-107). The two-time All-Star shortstop has proven to be a key player in the Yankees lineup, demonstrating consistency throughout the postseason, with a batting average of .292 and seven runs scored. Given his recent form and track record against the Guardians, this prop bet presents a strong opportunity for bettors.

Conclusion

As Game 3 unfolds, all eyes will be on Clarke Schmidt and Matthew Boyd as they aim to lead their teams to victory in this critical ALCS matchup. With the Yankees riding high on momentum and the Guardians looking to turn the tide at home, fans can expect a thrilling encounter at Progressive Field. Will the Yankees continue their dominance, or can the Guardians fight back? Only time will tell. Get ready for an intense evening of playoff baseball!

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